Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Biggest Loser Math

I have been busy with life and work so I apologize to my two readers out there. I am really bummed with TV right now. The best season ever of Survivor just ended. Lost ends Sunday and BL ends next week. What is going on? I am supposed to enjoy the summer OUTSIDE!?!?!

Anyway, one of my favorite blogs to write is the Biggest Loser math for the finale. Let's look at the final four.

Ashley - 5'5", 25 yrs old, starting weight - 374 (wow), last weight - 213 (loss of 43.04%)
Michael - 6'3", 30 yrs old, starting weight - 524 (wow), last weight - 299 (loss of 42.94%)
Koli - 6'1", 28 yrs old, starting weight - 403, last weight - 218 (loss of 45.91%)
Daris - 5'10", 25 yrs old, starting weight - 346, last weight - 197 (loss of 43.06%)

Before we get too far, let me throw Koli and Daris out of the picture. Their starting weight was not high enough. Ashley is 4 inches shorter than Daris but 30 lbs heavier at the beginning. Wow. Koli at 6'1" could maybe get down to 175. That is really skinny. However, even at 175, Michael would beat him with a weight of 225 and Ashley would beat him with a weight of 160.

Initially, I thought Michael was in the driver's seat but I am wrong. Ashley is the driver. This is Ashley's game to lose. At 5'5", she could easily end up at 140. That is 73 more lbs but totally doable for the season finale. If she ends at 140, that is a weight loss of 62.57%. Mike would have to weigh in at 196 to barely beat her. I am not saying Michael won't lose 103 more lbs. It just looks a little easier for Ashley to win this game.

In Season 7, Helen who is 5'6" ended up at 117 lbs. Rebecca from Season 8 who is 5'6" ended up at 140 lbs. Ashley is an inch shorter than both of them. My final guess for her is 132, a weight loss of 64.7%. Michael will not end up at 184.

My final guesses as as follows:

Ashley - 132
Michael - 192
Koli - 177
Daris - 165

What are your thoughts?

4 comments:

Krista said...

Ugh. Well, you know my thoughts as we have been emailing about them. ASHLEY. Barf. I really don't want her crybaby/quiting ways to win. I love Daris. I get it though...he won't win. He really won't. But maybe he will find a girlfriend out of this. And hell, I bet he will break 4 hrs in his next marathon! So, I guess I have to accept Ashley to take the prize, but I am now cheering for Chicago's own. Mike. And well O'Neal to win the at home challenge!!! Thanks for the math update :)

LaurenK said...

I may totally eat my words come finale, but I think you're on the low end for predicting Ashley's final weight. This is a girl that weighed a LOT. She is going to feel so skinny when she hits 160. I just can't see her getting down to 132. Those last pounds are tough for women. Then again, I never thought Helen would show up a skeleton either.

My predictions:
Ashley - 148
Mike - 205
Koli - 180
Daris - 175

P.S. I was totally hoping you would write this blog! THANK YOU!

Jessica said...

I don't do math, but AJ and I were just talking about predictions last night and I was wondering if I'd get to read a blog entry about it - Yeah YOU!

Christie said...

Dear God...reading this blog entry reminded me aobut watching the show with MJ. We watch it from two TOTALLY different perspectives: I cna't wait to see what Ali is wearing and weather Jillian will get someone to cry and MJ remembers peoples weight loss from the weeks before and estimates and does math problems to see who will win the current episode. I'm all for Ashley but I agree with Lauren that she will not get to the 130's. I know Daris cannot win but I think he's adorable.